Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.981520 2.160651 2.351622 2.570863 2.816215 3.083019 3.396030
2026-01-18 1.739410 1.987870 2.268840 2.612031 3.022513 3.500982 4.105673
2026-01-25 1.566210 1.851513 2.188291 2.619055 3.161013 3.827824 4.722199
2026-02-01 1.408962 1.709135 2.075342 2.560926 3.196909 4.014407 5.166191
2026-02-08 1.292908 1.602618 1.991116 2.522358 3.242806 4.205246 5.622389
2026-02-15 1.205587 1.523037 1.931157 2.504802 3.307681 4.418847 6.123742
2026-02-22 1.158598 1.490764 1.928116 2.559672 3.471710 4.779649 6.872702
2026-03-01 1.093328 1.428406 1.878481 2.543389 3.529581 4.987984 7.409558
2026-03-08 1.028663 1.362043 1.817781 2.504835 3.548593 5.135750 7.862092
2026-03-15 0.956275 1.280299 1.729758 2.418922 3.487250 5.150760 8.093032
2026-03-22 0.920291 1.247609 1.709202 2.430768 3.575590 5.407929 8.761979
2026-03-29 0.895733 1.229566 1.708208 2.471163 3.710623 5.751423 9.623269
2026-04-05 0.869625 1.208458 1.702270 2.504817 3.839883 6.102091 10.554839
2026-04-12 0.843191 1.185344 1.691762 2.530137 3.956950 6.442924 11.516595
2026-04-19 0.813713 1.155917 1.669562 2.534369 4.037366 6.724802 12.400060
2026-04-26 0.772472 1.106417 1.613257 2.478145 4.006774 6.797891 12.858980
2026-05-03 0.738670 1.066739 1.570219 2.441051 4.006595 6.926804 13.453307
2026-05-10 0.711658 1.036360 1.540342 2.424185 4.041241 7.125225 14.229349
2026-05-17 0.700931 1.031054 1.550489 2.476852 4.208420 7.602401 15.721477
2026-05-24 0.677134 1.003736 1.523036 2.461223 4.244326 7.815052 16.616743
2026-05-31 0.650686 0.971013 1.485008 2.424215 4.235656 7.932901 17.295052
2026-06-07 0.617248 0.925638 1.423804 2.341724 4.131434 7.836454 17.409690
2026-06-14 0.602944 0.911097 1.414094 2.353100 4.215407 8.158079 18.679271